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Articles
- Stacking Two Sports Models Without Writing PythonA click-driven tutorial for stacking two sports betting models in the browser. Meta-learner, calibration, Brier comparison, and ensemble weights.
- Build an NFL Spread Model in TensorFlow.js From ScratchA TensorFlow.js NFL betting model tutorial: define the architecture, prep the data, train in the browser, and evaluate against the closing spread.
- Transfer Portal → Team Total Deltas: A CFB Bettor's GuideQuantify how CFB transfer portal moves shift team totals. Recent QB transfers, methodology, and how to find futures and weekly edges.
- A UFC Round-Simulation Brick You Can RemixBuild a UFC round-by-round Monte Carlo simulator in the browser. Style matchups, takedown rate, finish probability, and round-prop edges.
- XGBoost vs TF.js Bricks: Which to Use WhenA head-to-head guide for choosing between XGBoost and TF.js bricks for betting models — accuracy, latency, memory, and browser portability.
- Fantasy Football Bye-Week Strategy for 2026: Draft Depth Without Wasting PicksThe real 2026 NFL bye-week table, which week hits hardest, and the roster-construction rules worth using instead of drafting around it.
- DFS Leverage Without Bad Projections: Finding Salary Pivots That PayHow to build leverage in NFL DFS lineups by pivoting salary without sacrificing projection quality.
- NFL DFS Ownership Leverage Strategy for 2026Use 2026 NFL DFS ownership projections to find leverage without making low-probability tournament lineups.
- NFL DFS Showdown Captain Strategy for 2026How to choose 2026 NFL DFS showdown captains using role, salary, game script, and leverage instead of raw projection alone.
- 2026 Best Ball Stack Strategy: Correlation Without Drafting Like a FanThe four highest-scoring QB and pass-catcher pairs on the Week 1 board, with what each pair costs. Philadelphia is the bargain.
- Injury Discounts in 2026 Fantasy Drafts: When the Market Gets Too ScaredThe injury discount is not there. Six often-injured skill players, and the draft room is paying above the Week 1 projection board on every one.
- NFL Draft 2026 Prop Bets: What the Numbers SayNFL draft prop bets explained: draft-position markets, first OL taken, RB in round 1, and where models find edge before the picks roll in.
- We Backtested Every Preseason RB1 Pick from 2019-2024 — Here's the Hit RateA six-season backtest of preseason RB1 ADP versus final fantasy finishes, with hit rates by tier, miss profiles, and late-round RB1 archetypes.
- FAAB Strategy: How Much to Bid on Waiver-Wire Adds, by Projection TierFAAB bidding strategy by projection tier: the Shark Snip model maps each waiver type — RB handcuff, WR breakout, streamer — to a bid percentage.
- Fantasy Trade Window Timing: When Markets Move in Your FavorThe Week 1 projection board agrees with the draft room on five of six names. The trade window is Dalton Schultz and a whole position nobody bids on.
- Training Camp Role Signals That Matter for 2026 Fantasy FootballWeek 1 is here, so the camp stories get checked. The board has Michael Pittman fourteen places ahead of where the room drafts him.
- Zero RB in 2026: When the Strategy Works and When It Turns Into WishcastingThe Week 1 projection board agrees with the market on the first back off the board and splits from it in the middle rounds. That split is the Zero RB case.
- Keeper League Value Strategy for 2026 Fantasy FootballA $1 tight end reads close to a $29 one on the Week 1 projection board. Here is how to price a 2026 keeper off that ratio rather than off a name.
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